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    1. Home
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    3. >Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump turns up the heat on Iran
    Finance

    Stocks Dip and Oil Climbs as Trump Turns up the Heat on Iran

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 20, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: April 3, 2026

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    Tags:currenciesprivate equity

    Quick Summary

    Asian stocks fell as oil rose on rising Middle East risks after Trump’s warnings to Iran. A Blue Owl redemption halt hit private equity shares, while the dollar firmed ahead of Nvidia’s earnings and Fed cues.

    Market Shifts: Stocks Decline and Oil Surges Amid Iran Tensions

    By Tom Westbrook

    SINGAPORE, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Stocks fell in Asia on Friday, the dollar headed for its largest weekly gain in four months and oil prices were rising as a U.S. military buildup in the Middle East and a rout in private equity stocks rippled across nervous markets.

    Asian Markets and Global Reactions

    Japan's Nikkei dropped 1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipped 0.6% on return from the Lunar New Year break with selling heaviest in e-commerce and technology shares.

    S&P 500 futures were up 0.2% and European futures rose 0.3%. On Wall Street private equity stocks took a beating after Blue Owl Capital sold assets and permanently stopped quarterly redemptions from one of its funds, stoking wider concern about valuations and liquidity in the sector.

    Blue Owl stock finished about 6% lower and shares in larger rivals Apollo Global Management and Blackstone fell more than 5%. [.N]

    Oil Prices Surge on Iran Deadline

    Benchmark Brent crude futures touched 6-1/2-month peaks above $72 a barrel as U.S. President Donald Trump set a deadline of 10 to 15 days for Iran to make a deal over its nuclear program or "really bad things" will happen. [O/R]

    Taken together, the news had investors shying away from risk, said Kenji Abe, chief strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo, and positioning ahead of an earnings report from the world's most valuable company, Nvidia, next week.

    The chipmaker is close to finalising a $30 billion investment into OpenAI that will replace the long-term $100 billion commitment agreed upon by the companies last year, the Financial Times reported, citing sources.

    Impact on Technology and AI Investments

    Chipmakers, which are turning eye-watering profits from the AI buildout, have so far been insulated from recent selling in software and other sectors seen at risk from disruption.

    But the pressure on Blue Owl, a lender to such companies, reflects rising concern over returns on AI investment.

    "The episode has also exposed excess leverage used to finance some of the AI capital expenditure and software companies," said Nick Ferres, CIO at Vantage Point Asset Management in Singapore.

    "There are parallels with the off-balance sheet financing and risk transfer pricing in 2008," he said. "(Though) the current episode is more likely a liquidity issue not a solvency one."

    Currency Movements and Dollar Gains

    DOLLAR NOTCHES WEEKLY GAIN

    In foreign exchange trade, the dollar was headed for its largest weekly rise in four months thanks to a patchwork of slightly stronger U.S. data and minutes from the Federal Reserve that suggested no hurry to lower interest rates. [FRX/]

    For the week the dollar is up about 1% on the euro, pushing the common currency to $1.1753.

    Japan's yen was lower after data showed the nation's core inflation at 2% in January, its slowest pace in two years, possibly complicating the central bank's hiking path.

    For the week, the dollar is up 1.6% at 155.2 yen.

    The Australian dollar slipped 0.3% to $0.7038, though a widening yield premium provided a buffer, while the kiwi was hamstrung by the fading chance of early rate hikes and headed for its largest weekly drop of 2026 so far. [AUD/]

    U.S. Treasuries were steady, with 10-year yields at 4.07%, while division evident in the Fed minutes over whether or how fast to cut rates has lifted two-year yields by five basis points over the week to 3.46%. [US/]

    "There does not seem to be much point in adding risk ahead of this weekend’s uncertainty surrounding the Middle East," said Spectra Markets' President Brent Donnelly.

    "Today feels like a good day to stay out of trouble."

    (Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Kim Coghill and Shri Navaratnam)

    References

    • Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump ramps up Iran threats – Reuters, Feb 20 2026
    • Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump turns up the heat on Iran – Global Banking & Finance Review

    Table of Contents

    • Asian Markets and Global Reactions
    • Oil Prices Surge on Iran Deadline
    • Impact on Technology and AI Investments
    • Currency Movements and Dollar Gains

    Key Takeaways

    • •Asian equities fell, with Japan’s Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipping.
    • •Brent crude advanced to multi‑month highs amid heightened U.S.–Iran tensions.
    • •Private equity names slid after Blue Owl halted quarterly redemptions in a fund.
    • •The dollar headed for a strong weekly gain; the yen weakened as UST yields steadied.
    • •Traders are cautious ahead of Nvidia’s results and digesting Fed minutes.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Stocks dip and oil climbs as Trump turns up the heat on Iran

    1What is the main topic?

    Markets turned risk‑off as Asian stocks dipped and oil prices climbed amid escalating Middle East tensions, with currency and credit markets reacting to the shift.

    2Why did oil prices rise?

    Brent crude climbed on fears of supply disruption after heightened U.S.–Iran rhetoric and a wider military buildup in the Middle East.

    3
    What hit private equity stocks?

    Shares fell after Blue Owl moved to halt quarterly redemptions in one of its funds, raising concerns about liquidity and valuations across the sector.

    4How did currencies and yields react?

    The dollar strengthened for the week on firm U.S. data and cautious Fed minutes; the yen weakened while Treasury yields were broadly steady.

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