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    3. >Oil prices rise 1% ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks
    Finance

    Oil Prices Rise 1% Ahead of US-Iran Nuclear Talks

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 16, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: February 16, 2026

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    Tags:oil and gasfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices remain stable as US-Iran nuclear talks approach, with geopolitical tensions and potential OPEC+ output hikes influencing the market.

    Oil prices rise 1% ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks

    Impact of US-Iran Talks on Oil Prices

    By Nicole Jao

    NEW YORK, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged up on Monday as investors weighed the market implications of upcoming U.S.-Iran talks aimed at de-escalating tensions against a backdrop of expected OPEC+ supply increases.

    Brent crude futures settled 90 cents, or 1.33%, higher at $68.65 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $63.75 a barrel, up 86 cents, or 1.37% at 2:14 p.m. EST (GMT 1914). The contract did not have settlement on Monday because of the U.S. Presidents Day holiday.

    Current Oil Price Trends

    Fears of supply disruption from the U.S.-Iran tensions have helped keep oil prices stable, said Tamas Varga, an analyst with PVM.

    Looming Lunar New Year holidays in China, South Korea and Taiwan also dampened trade.

    Both benchmarks posted weekly declines last week, with Brent settling about 0.5% lower and WTI losing 1%, after comments from U.S. President Donald Trump that Washington could make a deal with Tehran over the next month.

    Market Reactions and Predictions

    The two countries are due to hold a second round of talks in Geneva on Tuesday over Tehran's nuclear programme.

    In the run-up to the talks with Washington, mediated by Oman, Iran's foreign minister met with the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, on Monday.

    IRAN WANTS BROAD ECONOMIC DEAL WITH U.S., DIPLOMAT SAYS

    OPEC+ Influence on Oil Prices

    An Iranian diplomat was reported as saying that Iran is pursuing a nuclear agreement with the U.S. that delivers economic benefits for both sides, with energy and mining investments and aircraft purchases up for discussion.

    However, the U.S. is preparing for the possibility of a sustained military campaign if the talks do not succeed, U.S. officials have told Reuters. Iran's Revolutionary Guards have warned that if there are strikes on Iranian territory, they could retaliate against any U.S. military base.

    "Increased Iranian tension could drive Brent to $80 a barrel. Fading tension would drop it back to $60 a barrel," SEB analysts said in a note.

    While U.S.-Iran tensions push up oil prices, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies - together called OPEC+ - are dampening them by leaning toward a decision at their March 1 meeting to resume output increases from April after a three-month halt.

    Oil prices also were supported by China's continued strong crude imports and by some disruptions in oil exports, said Giovanni Staunovo, an oil analyst at UBS.

    China's imports of Russian oil are set to climb for a third straight month in February, hitting a new record, after India slashed purchases following U.S. pressure, according to traders and ship-tracking data.

    (Additional reporting by Shadia Nasralla and Enes Tunagur in London, Mohi Narayan in New Delhi and Florence Tan in Singapore; Editing by Andrei Khalip, Kevin Liffey and Paul Simao)

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of US-Iran Talks on Oil Prices
    • Current Oil Price Trends
    • Market Reactions and Predictions
    • OPEC+ Influence on Oil Prices

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices remain stable ahead of US-Iran talks.
    • •Geopolitical tensions support current oil prices.
    • •OPEC+ considers resuming output hikes from April.
    • •US-Iran negotiations focus on nuclear agreements.
    • •Market reactions are cautious amid geopolitical risks.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil prices rise 1% ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks

    1What is OPEC?

    OPEC, or the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, is a group of oil-producing nations that coordinates policies to manage oil production and prices.

    2What are oil futures?

    Oil futures are contracts to buy or sell a specific amount of oil at a predetermined price on a specified future date.

    3
    What is Brent crude oil?

    Brent crude oil is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea, used as a benchmark for pricing oil worldwide.

    4What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing, primarily produced in the United States.

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