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Europe's defence spending props up shrinking refining sector, says VAROPreem CEO - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Europe's defence spending props up shrinking refining sector, says VAROPreem CEO 

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 1, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: October 1, 2026

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Europe’s Defence Spending Supports Shrinking Oil Refining Sector, VAROPreem CEO Says

Impact of Defence Spending on Europe’s Oil Refining Sector

(Corrects price of European diesel contract in paragraph 9)

Rising Demand Driven by Government Defence Plans

LONDON, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Europe's shrinking oil refining sector is benefiting from rising demand for the fuel needed to support government defence plans, the CEO of one of the continent's biggest refiners said.

Defence Spending Trends in the European Union

European Union member states' defence spending rose for the 11th year running in 2025 to €418 billion ($472 billion), marking a 75% increase since 2021, with further gains forecast for this year, data from the European Council shows.

Shifting Government Priorities and Refinery Resilience

"Every conversation I'm having with European governments today is all about how do you maintain resilience, how do you maintain continuity of supply? I would say that period between 2015 and 2022 the entire focus was how could you shut refineries down," VAROPreem CEO Dev Sanyal told Reuters on Thursday.

"European governments realise that there's a need for more fuel. There's (also) a need for more energy because of the competitive advantage Europe wants to achieve on AI," he added.

Structural Changes in the Refining Sector

Closure and Conversion of Refineries

Since 2009, 30 of around 100 refineries operating in Europe have been closed or converted and at least seven converted into biorefineries, severely curbing the capacity to produce diesel, gasoline or jet fuel in the European Union, Britain, Norway and Switzerland, a report by trade group FuelsEurope said.

Limitations of Alternative Fuels for Defence

"Now, with defence spending, you realise that whether you have F-35s (US-made fighter jets), you have Leopard tanks, they don't run on biogas," said the CEO of Swiss-headquartered VAROPreem, which has a capacity of around 530,000 barrels per day with refineries in Sweden, Switzerland and Germany.

Current Refining Capacity in Europe

Refining capacity in EU countries, Britain, Turkey, Ukraine and Switzerland stood at 14.4 million bpd last year, down from 17.5 million bpd in 2009, according to the Statistical Review of World Energy most recently published by the Energy Institute.

Market Impact: Diesel Prices and Supply Pressures

Diesel Price Surges Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Diesel prices have rocketed since the Iran war choked off vital shipping lanes and following sustained attacks on Russian refining infrastructure.

The benchmark European diesel futures contract has hit highs above $1,500 a metric ton since the Iran war began, levels last seen in the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Global Diesel Market Dynamics

Meanwhile, US retail diesel prices hit a record $6.50 per gallon this month, with US pressure on Europe to release diesel stockpiles rising, sources said.

($1 = 0.8851 euros)

Reporting and Editorial Information

(Reporting by Shadia Nasralla, Ahmad Ghaddar, Dmitry Zhdannikov, Seher Dareen; Editing by Alexander Smith)

Key Takeaways

  • EU defence spending has increased for 11 consecutive years, reaching €418 billion in 2025 (+75 % since 2021) and is forecast at €454 billion in 2026 (2.4 % of GDP) (consilium.europa.eu)
  • Europe’s refining capacity has shrunk significantly—about 19 mainstream refineries closed since 2009, with capacity dropping from ~17.5 million bpd to ~14.4 million bpd—making supply more sensitive to demand spikes (readkong.com)
  • Higher demand tied to defence (jets, tanks) helps keep remaining refineries viable, especially as alternative fuel options (e.g. biogas) aren’t suitable for military use, and diesel futures have surged past prior highs amid geopolitical tensions (fuelseurope.eu)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How has defence spending impacted Europe's oil refining sector?
Rising defence spending has increased demand for fuel, supporting Europe’s shrinking oil refining sector according to VAROPreem's CEO.
What is the current trend in European refinery capacity?
European refining capacity has declined from 17.5 million bpd in 2009 to 14.4 million bpd in 2023 due to closures and conversions.
Why are European diesel prices rising?
Diesel prices are rising due to supply disruptions from conflict in Iran, attacks on Russian infrastructure, and higher defence-related fuel demand.
What role does VAROPreem play in the European refining market?
VAROPreem is one of Europe’s largest oil refiners, operating refineries in Sweden, Switzerland, and Germany with around 530,000 bpd capacity.
How are European governments responding to energy supply challenges?
Governments are focusing on maintaining fuel supply continuity and resilience, shifting attention from closing refineries to ensuring energy security.

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